NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI ORL
Points 106.9 107.0
Total Points   213.9
Points From 2-Pointers 54.3 55.4
Points From 3-Pointers 32.5 31.0
Points From Free Throws 20.1 20.7
Shooting PHI ORL
Field Goals Made 38.0 38.0
Field Goals Attempted 83.9 82.0
Field Goal % 45.2% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 53.3 52.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 30.6 30.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 20.1 20.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 27.3
Free Throw % 81.9% 75.6%
Ball Control PHI ORL
Rebounds 45.3 49.9
Rebounds - Defensive 34.3 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 13.0
Turnovers 12.3 14.0
Blocked Shots 5.5 6.0
Steals 8.0 6.4
Fouls 20.4 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI ORL
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 97.8 98.2
% of Possessions with PHI ORL
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 26.2%
Player Fouled 17.8% 20.6%
Turnover 12.4% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI ORL
Shot Blocked 7.4% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 27.5%