NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI ORL
Points 106.5 109.0
Total Points   215.5
Points From 2-Pointers 55.6 57.1
Points From 3-Pointers 30.5 31.1
Points From Free Throws 20.4 20.8
Shooting PHI ORL
Field Goals Made 38.0 38.9
Field Goals Attempted 84.1 81.3
Field Goal % 45.2% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 28.6
2 Pointers Attempted 54.1 51.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 29.9 29.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 20.4 20.8
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 27.8
Free Throw % 81.7% 74.6%
Ball Control PHI ORL
Rebounds 43.7 50.2
Rebounds - Defensive 33.1 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 12.9
Turnovers 12.0 14.5
Blocked Shots 5.5 6.1
Steals 8.1 6.2
Fouls 20.7 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI ORL
Total Possessions 99.5
Effective Scoring Chances 98.1 97.9
% of Possessions with PHI ORL
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 26.0%
Player Fouled 18.3% 20.8%
Turnover 12.1% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI ORL
Shot Blocked 7.6% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 28.0%