NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI DAL
Points 113.3 116.9
Total Points   230.2
Points From 2-Pointers 57.5 57.5
Points From 3-Pointers 35.3 39.7
Points From Free Throws 20.5 19.7
Shooting PHI DAL
Field Goals Made 40.5 42.0
Field Goals Attempted 89.6 86.0
Field Goal % 45.2% 48.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.8 28.8
2 Pointers Attempted 56.2 49.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 58.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 13.2
3 Pointers Attempted 33.4 36.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 20.5 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 25.9
Free Throw % 81.7% 75.9%
Ball Control PHI DAL
Rebounds 48.6 49.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.7 38.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 11.5
Turnovers 10.6 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.7 5.6
Steals 7.2 5.1
Fouls 20.4 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI DAL
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 103.9 101.1
% of Possessions with PHI DAL
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 32.0%
Player Fouled 16.4% 20.1%
Turnover 10.4% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI DAL
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 24.3%