NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI DEN
Points 108.4 114.4
Total Points   222.7
Points From 2-Pointers 57.9 64.8
Points From 3-Pointers 30.3 31.8
Points From Free Throws 20.1 17.8
Shooting PHI DEN
Field Goals Made 39.1 43.0
Field Goals Attempted 88.9 86.5
Field Goal % 43.9% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 28.9 32.4
2 Pointers Attempted 59.4 57.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 29.5 29.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 20.1 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 23.0
Free Throw % 81.7% 77.2%
Ball Control PHI DEN
Rebounds 46.3 51.2
Rebounds - Defensive 33.1 38.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 12.8
Turnovers 9.7 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.8 6.7
Steals 7.0 5.3
Fouls 17.8 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI DEN
Total Possessions 99.0
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 99.7
% of Possessions with PHI DEN
2 Point Attempt 51.7% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 25.7%
Player Fouled 16.2% 18.0%
Turnover 9.8% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI DEN
Shot Blocked 7.9% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 28.0%