NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI IND
Points 116.8 119.5
Total Points   236.3
Points From 2-Pointers 63.9 65.8
Points From 3-Pointers 29.7 35.7
Points From Free Throws 23.2 18.0
Shooting PHI IND
Field Goals Made 41.8 44.8
Field Goals Attempted 89.1 89.8
Field Goal % 47.0% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 31.9 32.9
2 Pointers Attempted 61.3 56.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 57.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.8 32.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 23.2 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 28.4 23.3
Free Throw % 81.9% 77.6%
Ball Control PHI IND
Rebounds 48.2 48.4
Rebounds - Defensive 35.1 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 12.3
Turnovers 11.0 12.0
Blocked Shots 6.1 7.1
Steals 6.3 5.7
Fouls 18.2 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI IND
Total Possessions 102.6
Effective Scoring Chances 104.8 102.9
% of Possessions with PHI IND
2 Point Attempt 51.6% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 28.1%
Player Fouled 18.3% 17.8%
Turnover 10.7% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI IND
Shot Blocked 8.1% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 25.9%