NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI DET
Points 117.5 107.9
Total Points   225.4
Points From 2-Pointers 61.8 56.7
Points From 3-Pointers 34.2 31.9
Points From Free Throws 21.5 19.2
Shooting PHI DET
Field Goals Made 42.3 39.0
Field Goals Attempted 87.5 85.9
Field Goal % 48.3% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 30.9 28.4
2 Pointers Attempted 56.4 55.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 30.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 21.5 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 26.3 24.6
Free Throw % 81.9% 78.3%
Ball Control PHI DET
Rebounds 47.7 48.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 12.6
Turnovers 10.2 14.2
Blocked Shots 7.1 5.3
Steals 8.5 5.2
Fouls 17.2 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI DET
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 102.4 99.8
% of Possessions with PHI DET
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 26.4%
Player Fouled 17.6% 17.0%
Turnover 10.1% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI DET
Shot Blocked 6.3% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 25.7%