NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI DET
Points 117.7 107.9
Total Points   225.5
Points From 2-Pointers 62.1 56.9
Points From 3-Pointers 34.1 31.8
Points From Free Throws 21.5 19.1
Shooting PHI DET
Field Goals Made 42.4 39.1
Field Goals Attempted 87.8 85.8
Field Goal % 48.3% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 31.1 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 56.7 54.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 30.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 21.5 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 26.2 24.4
Free Throw % 81.9% 78.3%
Ball Control PHI DET
Rebounds 47.8 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 36.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 12.5
Turnovers 10.3 14.4
Blocked Shots 7.2 5.3
Steals 8.6 5.2
Fouls 17.3 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI DET
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 102.6 99.7
% of Possessions with PHI DET
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 26.4%
Player Fouled 17.6% 17.0%
Turnover 10.1% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI DET
Shot Blocked 6.3% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 25.5%