NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI TOR
Points 117.2 111.3
Total Points   228.4
Points From 2-Pointers 63.1 60.6
Points From 3-Pointers 35.8 32.5
Points From Free Throws 18.2 18.2
Shooting PHI TOR
Field Goals Made 43.5 41.1
Field Goals Attempted 91.3 87.4
Field Goal % 47.7% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 31.6 30.3
2 Pointers Attempted 57.9 55.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 33.4 32.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 18.2 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 24.0
Free Throw % 81.7% 75.8%
Ball Control PHI TOR
Rebounds 49.5 48.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 12.8
Turnovers 11.1 13.4
Blocked Shots 6.7 5.6
Steals 7.2 5.9
Fouls 17.8 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI TOR
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 104.0 101.1
% of Possessions with PHI TOR
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 27.3%
Player Fouled 16.1% 17.5%
Turnover 10.9% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI TOR
Shot Blocked 6.6% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 26.3%