NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI TOR
Points 119.9 110.0
Total Points   230.0
Points From 2-Pointers 62.6 59.1
Points From 3-Pointers 39.0 32.4
Points From Free Throws 18.3 18.6
Shooting PHI TOR
Field Goals Made 44.3 40.3
Field Goals Attempted 91.2 87.8
Field Goal % 48.6% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 31.3 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 56.1 55.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 35.1 31.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 18.3 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 24.3
Free Throw % 81.9% 76.6%
Ball Control PHI TOR
Rebounds 50.4 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 35.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 13.0
Turnovers 11.2 13.3
Blocked Shots 7.4 5.4
Steals 7.1 6.0
Fouls 17.7 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI TOR
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 104.0 101.4
% of Possessions with PHI TOR
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 27.1%
Player Fouled 16.1% 17.4%
Turnover 11.0% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI TOR
Shot Blocked 6.3% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 26.2%