NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI HOU
Points 114.5 112.8
Total Points   227.3
Points From 2-Pointers 57.0 55.9
Points From 3-Pointers 34.9 36.4
Points From Free Throws 22.6 20.5
Shooting PHI HOU
Field Goals Made 40.1 40.1
Field Goals Attempted 87.5 89.2
Field Goal % 45.9% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 28.5 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 54.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 33.7 35.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 22.6 20.5
Free Throws Attempted 27.6 26.7
Free Throw % 81.9% 76.8%
Ball Control PHI HOU
Rebounds 50.0 51.5
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 14.6
Turnovers 11.0 11.8
Blocked Shots 6.7 5.6
Steals 7.0 5.9
Fouls 19.2 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI HOU
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.3 104.4
% of Possessions with PHI HOU
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 29.6%
Player Fouled 17.9% 18.9%
Turnover 10.8% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI HOU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 28.0%