NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI SA
Points 113.5 110.5
Total Points   224.0
Points From 2-Pointers 60.7 57.4
Points From 3-Pointers 35.0 35.8
Points From Free Throws 17.8 17.2
Shooting PHI SA
Field Goals Made 42.0 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 92.6 87.9
Field Goal % 45.4% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 60.5 53.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 32.2 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 17.8 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 22.2
Free Throw % 81.9% 77.6%
Ball Control PHI SA
Rebounds 49.2 52.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.7 39.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.5 12.7
Turnovers 10.6 14.2
Blocked Shots 5.7 7.3
Steals 8.6 5.4
Fouls 17.4 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI SA
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 104.2 100.9
% of Possessions with PHI SA
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 29.4%
Player Fouled 14.5% 16.9%
Turnover 10.4% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI SA
Shot Blocked 8.5% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 25.7%