NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI OKC
Points 110.7 119.0
Total Points   229.6
Points From 2-Pointers 52.6 61.6
Points From 3-Pointers 36.9 37.2
Points From Free Throws 21.1 20.1
Shooting PHI OKC
Field Goals Made 38.6 43.2
Field Goals Attempted 89.6 86.6
Field Goal % 43.1% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 26.3 30.8
2 Pointers Attempted 55.0 53.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 32.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 21.1 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 25.8 24.3
Free Throw % 81.7% 82.8%
Ball Control PHI OKC
Rebounds 48.6 49.1
Rebounds - Defensive 34.6 38.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 10.5
Turnovers 12.3 12.4
Blocked Shots 6.0 7.9
Steals 7.1 6.1
Fouls 19.3 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI OKC
Total Possessions 102.1
Effective Scoring Chances 103.8 100.2
% of Possessions with PHI OKC
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 28.5%
Player Fouled 16.5% 18.9%
Turnover 12.0% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI OKC
Shot Blocked 9.3% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 23.3%