NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI POR
Points 116.5 105.7
Total Points   222.2
Points From 2-Pointers 62.0 55.4
Points From 3-Pointers 33.0 32.1
Points From Free Throws 21.5 18.2
Shooting PHI POR
Field Goals Made 42.0 38.4
Field Goals Attempted 86.3 88.2
Field Goal % 48.7% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 31.0 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 54.5 56.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.9% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 31.8 31.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 21.5 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 26.2 22.9
Free Throw % 81.9% 79.4%
Ball Control PHI POR
Rebounds 48.3 49.7
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 34.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 15.7
Turnovers 11.3 14.4
Blocked Shots 7.4 5.1
Steals 8.5 5.7
Fouls 17.2 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI POR
Total Possessions 100.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.5 101.6
% of Possessions with PHI POR
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 26.6%
Player Fouled 17.8% 17.1%
Turnover 11.2% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI POR
Shot Blocked 6.0% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 30.4%