NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI WAS
Points 121.1 111.0
Total Points   232.2
Points From 2-Pointers 65.9 58.5
Points From 3-Pointers 33.5 35.1
Points From Free Throws 21.8 17.4
Shooting PHI WAS
Field Goals Made 44.1 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 91.1 88.8
Field Goal % 48.4% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 32.9 29.3
2 Pointers Attempted 59.5 54.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.2 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 31.6 34.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 21.8 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 26.6 22.7
Free Throw % 81.9% 76.8%
Ball Control PHI WAS
Rebounds 52.6 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 38.9 35.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 11.0
Turnovers 10.9 13.4
Blocked Shots 7.5 5.7
Steals 7.8 5.7
Fouls 17.8 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Philadelphia

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI WAS
Total Possessions 103.5
Effective Scoring Chances 106.3 101.1
% of Possessions with PHI WAS
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 29.1%
Player Fouled 17.1% 17.2%
Turnover 10.6% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHI WAS
Shot Blocked 6.6% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 22.0%