NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL CHI
Points 117.6 112.8
Total Points   230.4
Points From 2-Pointers 51.1 61.8
Points From 3-Pointers 47.4 34.3
Points From Free Throws 19.1 16.7
Shooting MIL CHI
Field Goals Made 41.3 42.3
Field Goals Attempted 85.3 91.5
Field Goal % 48.4% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 25.5 30.9
2 Pointers Attempted 43.6 59.0
2 Point Shooting % 58.5% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 15.8 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 41.7 32.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 19.1 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 21.1
Free Throw % 78.0% 79.2%
Ball Control MIL CHI
Rebounds 49.4 48.5
Rebounds - Defensive 39.6 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 11.6
Turnovers 11.8 9.6
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.1
Steals 5.5 6.7
Fouls 17.1 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL CHI
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 99.6 103.6
% of Possessions with MIL CHI
2 Point Attempt 38.6% 51.3%
3 Point Attempt 36.9% 28.3%
Player Fouled 17.5% 16.8%
Turnover 11.7% 9.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL CHI
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 22.7%