NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL BOS
Points 111.6 119.2
Total Points   230.8
Points From 2-Pointers 53.4 54.7
Points From 3-Pointers 43.5 48.8
Points From Free Throws 14.7 15.7
Shooting MIL BOS
Field Goals Made 41.2 43.6
Field Goals Attempted 91.9 91.9
Field Goal % 44.8% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 26.7 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 51.8 49.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 14.5 16.3
3 Pointers Attempted 40.1 42.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 14.7 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 19.9
Free Throw % 77.3% 79.1%
Ball Control MIL BOS
Rebounds 50.3 52.5
Rebounds - Defensive 38.9 41.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 11.4
Turnovers 10.4 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.6 5.4
Steals 5.0 6.0
Fouls 15.7 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL BOS
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 102.5 103.5
% of Possessions with MIL BOS
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 34.9% 37.2%
Player Fouled 14.7% 15.4%
Turnover 10.2% 9.2%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 4.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL BOS
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 22.7%