NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL MEM
Points 119.5 107.5
Total Points   227.0
Points From 2-Pointers 55.4 50.4
Points From 3-Pointers 44.7 40.3
Points From Free Throws 19.3 16.8
Shooting MIL MEM
Field Goals Made 42.6 38.6
Field Goals Attempted 86.6 89.7
Field Goal % 49.2% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 25.2
2 Pointers Attempted 48.3 51.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 14.9 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 38.3 38.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.9% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 19.3 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 22.1
Free Throw % 78.1% 75.8%
Ball Control MIL MEM
Rebounds 52.4 47.6
Rebounds - Defensive 41.8 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 11.6
Turnovers 12.7 12.4
Blocked Shots 5.6 5.2
Steals 6.9 6.8
Fouls 18.1 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL MEM
Total Possessions 103.0
Effective Scoring Chances 100.9 102.3
% of Possessions with MIL MEM
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 33.1% 33.1%
Player Fouled 17.6% 17.6%
Turnover 12.4% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL MEM
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 21.8%