NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL MEM
Points 117.7 106.7
Total Points   224.4
Points From 2-Pointers 54.9 51.3
Points From 3-Pointers 43.9 38.7
Points From Free Throws 18.9 16.7
Shooting MIL MEM
Field Goals Made 42.1 38.5
Field Goals Attempted 85.8 90.2
Field Goal % 49.1% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 25.6
2 Pointers Attempted 47.3 52.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.0% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 14.6 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 38.4 37.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 18.9 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 21.8
Free Throw % 77.3% 76.6%
Ball Control MIL MEM
Rebounds 52.2 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 41.5 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 12.3
Turnovers 13.1 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.9 5.2
Steals 6.7 7.3
Fouls 17.4 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL MEM
Total Possessions 102.3
Effective Scoring Chances 99.9 102.5
% of Possessions with MIL MEM
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 32.2%
Player Fouled 17.5% 17.0%
Turnover 12.8% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL MEM
Shot Blocked 5.9% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 22.8%