NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL CHA
Points 119.2 107.1
Total Points   226.3
Points From 2-Pointers 57.1 55.8
Points From 3-Pointers 44.9 36.7
Points From Free Throws 17.2 14.5
Shooting MIL CHA
Field Goals Made 43.5 40.2
Field Goals Attempted 86.2 88.5
Field Goal % 50.5% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.5 27.9
2 Pointers Attempted 47.0 53.5
2 Point Shooting % 60.7% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 15.0 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 39.2 35.0
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 17.2 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 18.4
Free Throw % 78.0% 78.9%
Ball Control MIL CHA
Rebounds 51.0 44.3
Rebounds - Defensive 40.8 35.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.3
Turnovers 11.8 11.1
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.7
Steals 5.8 5.9
Fouls 16.3 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL CHA
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 99.2 99.0
% of Possessions with MIL CHA
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 34.9% 31.3%
Player Fouled 16.3% 16.2%
Turnover 11.7% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL CHA
Shot Blocked 4.2% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 18.6%