NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL UTA
Points 127.2 117.4
Total Points   244.6
Points From 2-Pointers 58.0 59.4
Points From 3-Pointers 50.0 38.6
Points From Free Throws 19.2 19.5
Shooting MIL UTA
Field Goals Made 45.7 42.5
Field Goals Attempted 90.0 91.7
Field Goal % 50.8% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 29.0 29.7
2 Pointers Attempted 49.9 55.2
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 16.7 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 40.1 36.5
3 Point Shooting % 41.6% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 19.2 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 23.2
Free Throw % 77.5% 83.8%
Ball Control MIL UTA
Rebounds 47.8 49.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.6 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 13.0
Turnovers 10.3 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.6 4.6
Steals 6.8 5.5
Fouls 18.0 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL UTA
Total Possessions 104.1
Effective Scoring Chances 104.0 105.1
% of Possessions with MIL UTA
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 34.5% 30.6%
Player Fouled 16.9% 17.3%
Turnover 9.9% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL UTA
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 25.7%