NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL NY
Points 114.2 113.0
Total Points   227.2
Points From 2-Pointers 55.2 56.5
Points From 3-Pointers 41.6 39.3
Points From Free Throws 17.3 17.3
Shooting MIL NY
Field Goals Made 41.5 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 85.3 90.5
Field Goal % 48.6% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 27.6 28.2
2 Pointers Attempted 47.9 54.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.9 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 37.4 35.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 17.3 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 22.1
Free Throw % 78.0% 78.1%
Ball Control MIL NY
Rebounds 47.6 50.2
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 14.0
Turnovers 11.5 10.3
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.7
Steals 5.4 6.5
Fouls 17.2 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL NY
Total Possessions 99.7
Effective Scoring Chances 98.4 103.5
% of Possessions with MIL NY
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.5% 31.1%
Player Fouled 16.7% 17.2%
Turnover 11.5% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL NY
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 27.3%