NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL ORL
Points 112.8 110.7
Total Points   223.5
Points From 2-Pointers 54.8 58.8
Points From 3-Pointers 38.1 33.4
Points From Free Throws 19.8 18.6
Shooting MIL ORL
Field Goals Made 40.1 40.5
Field Goals Attempted 82.7 86.8
Field Goal % 48.5% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 27.4 29.4
2 Pointers Attempted 48.1 55.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.0% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 31.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 19.8 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 24.9
Free Throw % 77.5% 74.6%
Ball Control MIL ORL
Rebounds 46.5 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 37.8 36.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 11.8
Turnovers 12.9 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.3
Steals 6.7 7.1
Fouls 19.6 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL ORL
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 97.5 101.6
% of Possessions with MIL ORL
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 27.5%
Player Fouled 19.1% 19.3%
Turnover 12.7% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL ORL
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.2% 23.9%