NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL ORL
Points 111.0 109.1
Total Points   220.1
Points From 2-Pointers 54.3 57.8
Points From 3-Pointers 37.6 32.7
Points From Free Throws 19.2 18.6
Shooting MIL ORL
Field Goals Made 39.7 39.8
Field Goals Attempted 82.5 86.2
Field Goal % 48.1% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.1 28.9
2 Pointers Attempted 48.2 54.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.4% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 10.9
3 Pointers Attempted 34.3 31.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 19.2 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 24.6
Free Throw % 78.0% 75.6%
Ball Control MIL ORL
Rebounds 47.0 48.1
Rebounds - Defensive 38.1 36.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 11.4
Turnovers 13.2 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.3
Steals 6.7 7.2
Fouls 19.2 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL ORL
Total Possessions 101.0
Effective Scoring Chances 96.8 100.7
% of Possessions with MIL ORL
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 27.8%
Player Fouled 18.4% 19.0%
Turnover 13.0% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL ORL
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 23.1%