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Milwaukee vs. Dallas
Sat Aug 8, 2020
8:30pm ET
Kissimmee, FL
(Neutral Site)
Milwaukee vs. Dallas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Milwaukee by 6, Total Points: 238
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIL | adv | DAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-46-1 | 48-34-0 | |
| vs Division | 5-12-0 | 10-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 25-26-1 | 32-20-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 19-21-1 | 21-20-0 | |
| Away | 16-25-0 | 27-14-0 |
Milwaukee Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/26 | Home | Philadelphia | -6.0 | W by 1 | -5.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | L by 17 | -23.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Miami | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Toronto | -4.0 | L by 19 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | New York | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Brooklyn | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Detroit | -12.0 | W by 2 | -10.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Indiana | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Orlando | -2.0 | L by 15 | -17.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Chicago | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Toronto | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Charlotte | -8.0 | W by 31 | +23.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Dallas | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Washington | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Boston | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Washington | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Portland | -13.0 | W by 6 | -7.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Chicago | -10.5 | L by 7 | -17.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | New York | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | Indiana | -5.0 | L by 9 | -14.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Chicago | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 32 | +15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Houston | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | San Antonio | -16.5 | W by 13 | -3.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Orlando | -8.5 | W by 4 | -4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | New York | -2.0 | W by 19 | +17.0 |
| 12/25 | Away | New York | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/27 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.0 | W by 22 | +12.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Cleveland | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Indiana | -8.0 | L by 9 | -17.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | San Antonio | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Houston | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | L by 16 | -24.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Boston | -2.0 | W by 33 | +31.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Golden State | -13.5 | W by 11 | -2.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Cleveland | +2.0 | L by 40 | -38.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Detroit | -13.5 | W by 6 | -7.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Cleveland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Cleveland | -5.5 | L by 12 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | New Orleans | -3.5 | W by 24 | +20.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Denver | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Dallas | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Utah | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Phoenix | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Minnesota | +2.0 | L by 24 | -22.0 |
| 02/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.0 | W by 36 | +20.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Denver | -1.0 | W by 17 | +16.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Miami | -7.0 | L by 26 | -33.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | Memphis | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Minnesota | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Philadelphia | -4.5 | W by 21 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | W by 38 | +24.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Charlotte | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Golden State | +2.5 | L by 35 | -32.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -4.0 | L by 1 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Clippers | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | Sacramento | +1.5 | L by 35 | -33.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/17 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 03/20 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Okla City | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | LA Lakers | -9.5 | L by 4 | -13.5 |
| 03/28 | Away | New Orleans | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 03/30 | Away | Atlanta | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 04/02 | Away | Washington | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | L by 10 | -22.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | Toronto | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | New York | -4.5 | L by 13 | -17.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | Boston | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Orlando | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Okla City | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Orlando | +6.0 | L by 25 | -19.0 |
Dallas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | San Antonio | -4.5 | W by 7 | +2.5 |
| 10/27 | Home | Brooklyn | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 10/30 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 15 | +16.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Chicago | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/03 | Away | Denver | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 11/05 | Home | Charlotte | -11.5 | W by 6 | -5.5 |
| 11/06 | Away | Orlando | -1.0 | W by 15 | +14.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Toronto | -4.0 | L by 11 | -15.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | LA Clippers | -1.0 | W by 18 | +17.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | New Orleans | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | New Orleans | -3.5 | L by 21 | -24.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Washington | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Milwaukee | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Sacramento | -1.5 | L by 16 | -17.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | LA Lakers | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | LA Clippers | +2.0 | L by 19 | -17.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Houston | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Memphis | -5.5 | L by 14 | -19.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Okla City | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Utah | -11.5 | W by 50 | +38.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Portland | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Memphis | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | LA Lakers | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Portland | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | Denver | +8.0 | L by 26 | -18.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | LA Clippers | +2.0 | L by 9 | -7.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Houston | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | San Antonio | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 12/25 | Away | Phoenix | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | Cleveland | -6.0 | L by 3 | -9.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Minnesota | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Golden State | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | Utah | -4.5 | L by 37 | -41.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Portland | -10.5 | W by 29 | +18.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Portland | -7.0 | W by 36 | +29.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Minnesota | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Memphis | -9.5 | L by 17 | -26.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | New York | +4.5 | W by 4 | +8.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | New Orleans | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | New Orleans | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | LA Lakers | +3.0 | L by 17 | -14.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Boston | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | L by 23 | -20.5 |
| 01/26 | Away | Atlanta | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Sacramento | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Orlando | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Minnesota | +13.0 | L by 34 | -21.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Milwaukee | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Philadelphia | -3.0 | W by 16 | +13.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Brooklyn | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | New York | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Okla City | +1.0 | W by 35 | +36.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Washington | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | San Antonio | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Phoenix | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Indiana | -2.0 | L by 22 | -24.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Cleveland | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Toronto | -3.5 | W by 11 | +7.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Boston | +8.5 | L by 28 | -19.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.5 | L by 4 | -11.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | L by 17 | -22.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Miami | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Detroit | -9.0 | W by 18 | +9.0 |
| 03/11 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | W by 35 | +31.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Golden State | -8.5 | W by 10 | +1.5 |
| 03/14 | Away | Okla City | +9.5 | L by 7 | +2.5 |
| 03/17 | Home | Denver | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | San Antonio | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | Utah | -14.0 | W by 16 | +2.0 |
| 03/25 | Away | Utah | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 03/26 | Away | Sacramento | +1.0 | W by 36 | +37.0 |
| 03/29 | Away | Sacramento | -1.0 | W by 4 | +3.0 |
| 03/31 | Away | Houston | -4.0 | W by 18 | +14.0 |
| 04/02 | Away | Golden State | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 04/04 | Home | Atlanta | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | Golden State | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 04/07 | Home | Houston | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Charlotte | -12.5 | W by 26 | +13.5 |
| 04/10 | Away | Miami | -2.5 | W by 19 | +16.5 |
| 04/12 | Home | Detroit | -11.0 | L by 18 | -29.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Okla City | +19.5 | L by 49 | -29.5 |
| MIL -6.0 | Open | -5.5 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -5.5 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season there have been 609 games where the closing line favored the away team by 5 to 7 points. In these games:
- The team like Milwaukee won the game 424 times (69.6%).
- The team like Dallas won the game 185 times (30.4%).
- The team like Milwaukee did better against the spread, going 309-289-11 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 1526 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Dallas did better against the spread, going 758-739-29 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.0 | -6.0 | -5.5 |
| Open | -5.5 | -5.5 | -5.5 |
| History | |||
| 08/08 08:40 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 08:35 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 08/08 08:07 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 08:02 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 07:22 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 07:04 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 08/08 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 08/08 06:49 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 05:41 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 05:19 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 04:19 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 03:52 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 02:16 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 01:13 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 12:55 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 12:41 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 12:07 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 11:55 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 11:34 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 11:07 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 10:58 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 10:43 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/08 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 08/08 10:04 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 08/08 09:49 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
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