NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL DAL
Points 119.9 118.3
Total Points   238.2
Points From 2-Pointers 56.0 58.5
Points From 3-Pointers 44.0 42.2
Points From Free Throws 19.9 17.7
Shooting MIL DAL
Field Goals Made 42.7 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.1 90.9
Field Goal % 48.4% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 28.0 29.2
2 Pointers Attempted 49.5 52.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 14.1
3 Pointers Attempted 38.6 38.8
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 19.9 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 23.3
Free Throw % 77.5% 75.9%
Ball Control MIL DAL
Rebounds 50.8 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 40.1 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.4
Turnovers 11.4 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.0
Steals 5.9 5.8
Fouls 19.4 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL DAL
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 103.1 104.5
% of Possessions with MIL DAL
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 33.2% 33.5%
Player Fouled 17.1% 18.7%
Turnover 11.0% 9.5%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL DAL
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 20.7%