NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL BK
Points 116.5 109.4
Total Points   225.8
Points From 2-Pointers 55.8 54.3
Points From 3-Pointers 42.6 38.6
Points From Free Throws 18.1 16.5
Shooting MIL BK
Field Goals Made 42.1 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 87.0 90.4
Field Goal % 48.4% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 49.6 53.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 14.2 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 37.5 36.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 18.1 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 21.6
Free Throw % 77.7% 76.0%
Ball Control MIL BK
Rebounds 50.9 49.5
Rebounds - Defensive 40.7 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 12.2
Turnovers 11.1 10.5
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.2
Steals 5.6 5.9
Fouls 17.0 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL BK
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 100.5 102.9
% of Possessions with MIL BK
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.1% 31.9%
Player Fouled 17.0% 16.8%
Turnover 10.9% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL BK
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 23.0%