NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL BK
Points 114.3 108.1
Total Points   222.4
Points From 2-Pointers 57.3 43.4
Points From 3-Pointers 42.3 45.7
Points From Free Throws 14.7 19.0
Shooting MIL BK
Field Goals Made 42.8 36.9
Field Goals Attempted 83.6 84.4
Field Goal % 51.1% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 48.9 41.8
2 Point Shooting % 58.6% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 14.1 15.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.7 42.6
3 Point Shooting % 40.6% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 14.7 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 24.8
Free Throw % 73.7% 76.7%
Ball Control MIL BK
Rebounds 46.6 47.5
Rebounds - Defensive 37.8 34.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 12.5
Turnovers 12.9 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.5
Steals 7.2 7.3
Fouls 17.6 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL BK
Total Possessions 99.5
Effective Scoring Chances 95.4 99.3
% of Possessions with MIL BK
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 36.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 37.4%
Player Fouled 17.3% 17.7%
Turnover 12.9% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL BK
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 24.9%