NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL BK
Points 112.8 104.8
Total Points   217.6
Points From 2-Pointers 53.1 47.8
Points From 3-Pointers 43.0 40.2
Points From Free Throws 16.7 16.8
Shooting MIL BK
Field Goals Made 40.9 37.3
Field Goals Attempted 82.5 88.3
Field Goal % 49.6% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 26.6 23.9
2 Pointers Attempted 46.5 48.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 14.3 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.0 40.0
3 Point Shooting % 39.8% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 16.7 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 21.2
Free Throw % 74.3% 79.5%
Ball Control MIL BK
Rebounds 48.7 48.8
Rebounds - Defensive 40.3 36.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 12.5
Turnovers 13.2 12.4
Blocked Shots 5.2 3.8
Steals 6.5 6.7
Fouls 17.1 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Brooklyn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL BK
Total Possessions 100.5
Effective Scoring Chances 95.7 100.6
% of Possessions with MIL BK
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 34.7%
Player Fouled 17.8% 17.0%
Turnover 13.2% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL BK
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 18.8% 23.7%