NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL DEN
Points 112.8 114.9
Total Points   227.7
Points From 2-Pointers 57.1 65.1
Points From 3-Pointers 36.7 34.2
Points From Free Throws 19.0 15.6
Shooting MIL DEN
Field Goals Made 40.8 44.0
Field Goals Attempted 86.8 90.8
Field Goal % 47.0% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 32.6
2 Pointers Attempted 52.8 59.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 34.0 31.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 19.0 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 20.3
Free Throw % 77.7% 76.8%
Ball Control MIL DEN
Rebounds 48.1 49.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 38.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 11.6
Turnovers 10.5 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.7
Steals 5.6 6.0
Fouls 16.8 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL DEN
Total Possessions 100.8
Effective Scoring Chances 100.8 102.5
% of Possessions with MIL DEN
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 52.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 27.6%
Player Fouled 16.8% 16.6%
Turnover 10.4% 9.8%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL DEN
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 23.6%