NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL IND
Points 121.6 121.7
Total Points   243.2
Points From 2-Pointers 65.4 67.9
Points From 3-Pointers 33.7 37.2
Points From Free Throws 22.5 16.5
Shooting MIL IND
Field Goals Made 43.9 46.4
Field Goals Attempted 87.0 93.3
Field Goal % 50.5% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 32.7 34.0
2 Pointers Attempted 56.2 59.1
2 Point Shooting % 58.2% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.2 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 30.8 34.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 22.5 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 29.1 21.1
Free Throw % 77.3% 78.0%
Ball Control MIL IND
Rebounds 49.4 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 38.4 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 10.7
Turnovers 11.9 10.1
Blocked Shots 4.7 5.0
Steals 5.4 6.6
Fouls 17.3 20.1

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL IND
Total Possessions 104.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.7 105.2
% of Possessions with MIL IND
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 50.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 29.2%
Player Fouled 19.2% 16.5%
Turnover 11.4% 9.7%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL IND
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 21.7%