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Milwaukee at Indiana
Thu May 13, 2021
7:00pm ET
Indianapolis, IN
Milwaukee at Indiana: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Milwaukee by 9.5, Total Points: 241.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIL | adv | IND |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-47-1 | 45-37-3 | |
| vs Division | 6-13-0 | 12-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 26-27-1 | 31-22-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 20-22-1 | 22-17-2 | |
| Away | 16-25-0 | 23-20-1 |
Milwaukee Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/26 | Home | Philadelphia | -6.0 | W by 1 | -5.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | L by 17 | -23.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Miami | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Toronto | -4.0 | L by 19 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | New York | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Brooklyn | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Detroit | -12.0 | W by 2 | -10.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Indiana | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Orlando | -2.0 | L by 15 | -17.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Chicago | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Toronto | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Charlotte | -8.0 | W by 31 | +23.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Dallas | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Washington | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Boston | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Washington | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Portland | -13.0 | W by 6 | -7.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Chicago | -10.5 | L by 7 | -17.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | New York | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | Indiana | -5.0 | L by 9 | -14.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Chicago | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 32 | +15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Houston | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | San Antonio | -16.5 | W by 13 | -3.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Orlando | -8.5 | W by 4 | -4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | New York | -2.0 | W by 19 | +17.0 |
| 12/25 | Away | New York | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/27 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.0 | W by 22 | +12.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Cleveland | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Indiana | -8.0 | L by 9 | -17.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | San Antonio | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Houston | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | L by 16 | -24.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Boston | -2.0 | W by 33 | +31.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Golden State | -13.5 | W by 11 | -2.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Cleveland | +2.0 | L by 40 | -38.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Detroit | -13.5 | W by 6 | -7.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Cleveland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Cleveland | -5.5 | L by 12 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | New Orleans | -3.5 | W by 24 | +20.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Denver | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Dallas | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Utah | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Phoenix | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Minnesota | +2.0 | L by 24 | -22.0 |
| 02/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.0 | W by 36 | +20.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Denver | -1.0 | W by 17 | +16.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Miami | -7.0 | L by 26 | -33.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | Memphis | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Minnesota | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Philadelphia | -4.5 | W by 21 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | W by 38 | +24.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Charlotte | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Golden State | +2.5 | L by 35 | -32.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -4.0 | L by 1 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Clippers | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | Sacramento | +1.5 | L by 35 | -33.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/17 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 03/20 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Okla City | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | LA Lakers | -9.5 | L by 4 | -13.5 |
| 03/28 | Away | New Orleans | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 03/30 | Away | Atlanta | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 04/02 | Away | Washington | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | L by 10 | -22.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | Toronto | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | New York | -4.5 | L by 13 | -17.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | Boston | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Orlando | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Okla City | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Orlando | +6.0 | L by 25 | -19.0 |
| 04/21 | Home | Indiana | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 04/23 | Home | Indiana | -1.0 | L by 17 | -18.0 |
Indiana Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Home | Washington | -4.5 | W by 23 | +18.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Cleveland | -4.0 | W by 12 | +8.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Chicago | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Boston | +13.0 | L by 51 | -38.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | Cleveland | +2.5 | W by 5 | +7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Charlotte | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 11/06 | Home | San Antonio | -8.5 | W by 41 | +32.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Utah | -6.0 | W by 16 | +10.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Milwaukee | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 11/12 | Away | Philadelphia | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Philadelphia | +6.5 | W by 6 | +12.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Orlando | -4.5 | L by 12 | -16.5 |
| 11/21 | Away | Atlanta | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Toronto | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | Portland | -12.0 | L by 4 | -16.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Miami | +4.5 | W by 15 | +19.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Boston | +4.5 | W by 10 | +14.5 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | Milwaukee | +5.0 | W by 9 | +14.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | LA Lakers | +4.0 | L by 14 | -10.0 |
| 12/11 | Away | Detroit | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Milwaukee | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 12/15 | Away | Washington | -8.0 | L by 14 | -22.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Minnesota | +10.5 | L by 18 | -7.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | LA Clippers | +4.0 | L by 24 | -20.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Charlotte | -10.5 | W by 31 | +20.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Memphis | +2.0 | L by 13 | -11.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Orlando | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 12/26 | Away | Houston | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Chicago | -1.0 | W by 16 | +15.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | New York | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 01/01 | Away | Milwaukee | +8.0 | W by 9 | +17.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Milwaukee | +3.5 | W by 12 | +15.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Atlanta | -3.0 | W by 34 | +31.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Boston | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Boston | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Washington | -8.0 | W by 8 | 0.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Atlanta | +6.0 | W by 18 | +24.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Denver | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Utah | +7.0 | L by 27 | -20.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Sacramento | +8.5 | W by 5 | +13.5 |
| 01/19 | Away | Portland | -8.0 | L by 3 | -11.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Phoenix | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Denver | +5.0 | L by 5 | 0.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | Philadelphia | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Phoenix | +5.0 | W by 2 | +7.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Memphis | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Boston | +8.0 | L by 5 | +3.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | New York | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 02/02 | Home | Sacramento | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Charlotte | -11.5 | W by 16 | +4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Houston | -8.0 | W by 3 | -5.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Golden State | -5.5 | L by 22 | -27.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | New York | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 02/12 | Away | Charlotte | -10.0 | L by 9 | -19.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Toronto | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Detroit | -12.0 | W by 14 | +2.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Dallas | +2.0 | W by 22 | +24.0 |
| 02/26 | Home | Toronto | -5.5 | L by 8 | -13.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | New Orleans | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | New Orleans | +5.5 | L by 27 | -21.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | San Antonio | -6.5 | L by 12 | -18.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Dallas | +5.5 | W by 17 | +22.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Minnesota | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Orlando | (Pick) | W by 14 | +14.0 |
| 03/12 | Away | Okla City | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 03/13 | Home | Chicago | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 03/16 | Home | Brooklyn | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 03/18 | Home | Cleveland | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Detroit | -11.0 | W by 19 | +8.0 |
| 03/22 | Away | Golden State | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | LA Lakers | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/25 | Away | LA Clippers | +6.0 | W by 17 | +23.0 |
| 03/27 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | L by 26 | -29.5 |
| 03/29 | Home | LA Lakers | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 04/01 | Home | Brooklyn | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 04/03 | Away | Brooklyn | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Okla City | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | Miami | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 04/09 | Away | Toronto | -14.0 | W by 17 | +3.0 |
| 04/12 | Away | Cleveland | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| 04/14 | Home | Atlanta | -13.5 | W by 42 | +28.5 |
| 04/21 | Away | Milwaukee | -1.5 | L by 15 | -16.5 |
| 04/23 | Away | Milwaukee | +1.0 | W by 17 | +18.0 |
| MIL -9.5 | Open | -7.5 | High | -10.0 |
| Last | -10.0 | Low | -7.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NBA season there have been 299 games where the closing line favored the away team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Milwaukee won the game 246 times (82.3%).
- The team like Indiana won the game 53 times (17.7%).
- The team like Milwaukee did better against the spread, going 159-136-4 (53.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 1265 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Indiana did better against the spread, going 633-605-27 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -9.5 | -9.0 |
| Open | -8.5 | -8.5 | -8.0 |
| History | |||
| 05/13 07:07 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/13 07:05 PM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 05/13 06:54 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 05/13 06:45 PM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 05/13 06:44 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 05/13 06:40 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/13 06:25 PM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 05/13 06:14 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 05/13 06:05 PM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 05/13 06:04 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/13 06:04 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 05/13 05:54 PM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 05/13 05:53 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/13 05:45 PM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 05/13 05:28 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/13 05:11 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/13 04:43 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/13 04:31 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/13 03:34 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/13 03:13 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/13 02:49 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/13 01:54 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 05/13 01:49 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/13 01:35 PM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 05/13 01:22 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/13 11:44 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 05/13 10:25 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/13 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 05/13 09:58 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 05/13 09:52 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 05/13 09:34 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
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