NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL DET
Points 121.9 110.0
Total Points   231.9
Points From 2-Pointers 62.0 59.2
Points From 3-Pointers 39.3 33.5
Points From Free Throws 20.6 17.4
Shooting MIL DET
Field Goals Made 44.1 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 86.1 89.9
Field Goal % 51.2% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 31.0 29.6
2 Pointers Attempted 51.2 57.5
2 Point Shooting % 60.5% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.1 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 32.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 20.6 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 26.7 22.2
Free Throw % 77.3% 78.3%
Ball Control MIL DET
Rebounds 49.5 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 40.2 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 11.0
Turnovers 11.0 11.9
Blocked Shots 5.4 3.8
Steals 7.2 5.9
Fouls 16.3 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL DET
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.6 102.4
% of Possessions with MIL DET
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 49.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 27.8%
Player Fouled 18.4% 15.8%
Turnover 10.7% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL DET
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 21.6%