NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL DET
Points 122.0 109.9
Total Points   231.9
Points From 2-Pointers 62.0 59.2
Points From 3-Pointers 39.5 33.3
Points From Free Throws 20.5 17.4
Shooting MIL DET
Field Goals Made 44.2 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 86.1 89.8
Field Goal % 51.3% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 31.0 29.6
2 Pointers Attempted 51.2 57.5
2 Point Shooting % 60.5% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 34.9 32.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 20.5 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 26.4 22.2
Free Throw % 77.7% 78.3%
Ball Control MIL DET
Rebounds 49.4 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 40.2 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 11.1
Turnovers 11.0 11.9
Blocked Shots 5.4 3.8
Steals 7.2 5.9
Fouls 16.3 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL DET
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 101.5 102.4
% of Possessions with MIL DET
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 27.8%
Player Fouled 18.3% 15.8%
Turnover 10.7% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL DET
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 21.6%