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Milwaukee vs. Houston
Sun Aug 2, 2020
8:30pm ET
Kissimmee, FL
(Neutral Site)
Milwaukee vs. Houston: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Milwaukee by 5, Total Points: 244
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIL | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 35-46-1 | 45-35-2 | |
| vs Division | 5-12-0 | 7-8-1 | |
| vs Conference | 25-26-1 | 30-20-2 | |
| Streak | L2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 19-21-1 | 27-13-1 | |
| Away | 16-25-0 | 18-22-1 |
Milwaukee Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/26 | Home | Philadelphia | -6.0 | W by 1 | -5.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | L by 17 | -23.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Miami | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Toronto | -4.0 | L by 19 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | New York | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Brooklyn | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Detroit | -12.0 | W by 2 | -10.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Indiana | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Orlando | -2.0 | L by 15 | -17.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Chicago | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Toronto | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Charlotte | -8.0 | W by 31 | +23.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Dallas | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Washington | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Boston | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Washington | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Portland | -13.0 | W by 6 | -7.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Chicago | -10.5 | L by 7 | -17.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | New York | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | Indiana | -5.0 | L by 9 | -14.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Chicago | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 32 | +15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Houston | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | San Antonio | -16.5 | W by 13 | -3.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Orlando | -8.5 | W by 4 | -4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | New York | -2.0 | W by 19 | +17.0 |
| 12/25 | Away | New York | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/27 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.0 | W by 22 | +12.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Cleveland | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Indiana | -8.0 | L by 9 | -17.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | San Antonio | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Houston | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | L by 16 | -24.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Boston | -2.0 | W by 33 | +31.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Golden State | -13.5 | W by 11 | -2.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Cleveland | +2.0 | L by 40 | -38.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Detroit | -13.5 | W by 6 | -7.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Cleveland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Cleveland | -5.5 | L by 12 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | New Orleans | -3.5 | W by 24 | +20.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Denver | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Dallas | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Utah | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Phoenix | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Minnesota | +2.0 | L by 24 | -22.0 |
| 02/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.0 | W by 36 | +20.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Denver | -1.0 | W by 17 | +16.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Miami | -7.0 | L by 26 | -33.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | Memphis | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Minnesota | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Philadelphia | -4.5 | W by 21 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | W by 38 | +24.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Charlotte | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Golden State | +2.5 | L by 35 | -32.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -4.0 | L by 1 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Clippers | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | Sacramento | +1.5 | L by 35 | -33.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/17 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 03/20 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Okla City | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | LA Lakers | -9.5 | L by 4 | -13.5 |
| 03/28 | Away | New Orleans | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 03/30 | Away | Atlanta | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 04/02 | Away | Washington | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | L by 10 | -22.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | Toronto | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | New York | -4.5 | L by 13 | -17.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | Boston | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Orlando | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Okla City | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Orlando | +6.0 | L by 25 | -19.0 |
Houston Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | Orlando | +4.5 | L by 30 | -25.5 |
| 10/27 | Away | San Antonio | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 10/29 | Home | Golden State | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 11/01 | Home | Charlotte | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Sacramento | +2.5 | W by 18 | +20.5 |
| 11/06 | Home | Sacramento | +2.0 | W by 25 | +27.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | LA Lakers | +2.0 | W by 34 | +36.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | New Orleans | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Denver | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | LA Clippers | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | LA Lakers | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Golden State | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Memphis | -5.0 | W by 20 | +15.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Denver | +3.0 | W by 19 | +22.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Dallas | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Denver | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | LA Lakers | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Okla City | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Denver | +9.0 | W by 8 | +17.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | San Antonio | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Memphis | -10.0 | W by 13 | +3.0 |
| 12/15 | Away | Memphis | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Milwaukee | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| 12/18 | Away | Cleveland | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Atlanta | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Dallas | -8.5 | W by 26 | +17.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | New Orleans | +7.5 | W by 2 | +9.5 |
| 12/26 | Home | Indiana | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 12/27 | Home | Phoenix | +3.0 | L by 16 | -13.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Philadelphia | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Brooklyn | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Minnesota | +4.0 | L by 27 | -23.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Milwaukee | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 01/08 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Chicago | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Detroit | -9.0 | W by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Boston | +15.0 | L by 32 | -17.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Philadelphia | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | New York | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Utah | -2.0 | W by 1 | -1.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Boston | +11.0 | L by 9 | +2.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Portland | -10.0 | L by 6 | -16.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Charlotte | -5.0 | W by 34 | +29.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Brooklyn | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | LA Lakers | +1.0 | W by 16 | +17.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | New Orleans | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Toronto | -4.5 | W by 29 | +24.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 21 | -13.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Indiana | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | Toronto | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Atlanta | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | New York | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Memphis | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | New Orleans | +6.5 | L by 22 | -15.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Okla City | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Okla City | +10.0 | L by 17 | -7.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Phoenix | +8.5 | L by 5 | +3.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Phoenix | +9.0 | W by 9 | +18.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | San Antonio | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LA Clippers | +6.5 | L by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Portland | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Sacramento | +6.5 | W by 8 | +14.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | San Antonio | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 03/16 | Home | Cleveland | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Washington | -10.0 | W by 23 | +13.0 |
| 03/21 | Home | Chicago | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 03/23 | Home | Utah | -10.5 | W by 28 | +17.5 |
| 03/25 | Home | Portland | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 03/27 | Away | Okla City | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Utah | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 03/31 | Home | Dallas | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 04/02 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 04/04 | Home | Golden State | +3.0 | L by 23 | -20.0 |
| 04/05 | Home | Miami | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Dallas | +9.0 | L by 11 | -2.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | Orlando | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 04/11 | Away | Utah | -11.0 | L by 3 | -14.0 |
| 04/12 | Away | Portland | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | LA Clippers | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| MIL -5.0 | Open | -3.5 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NBA season there have been 692 games where the closing line favored the away team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:
- The team like Milwaukee won the game 443 times (64.0%).
- The team like Houston won the game 249 times (36.0%).
- The team like Milwaukee did better against the spread, going 348-331-13 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NBA season there have been 1021 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Houston did better against the spread, going 509-490-22 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -5.0 | -5.0 |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| History | |||
| 08/02 08:37 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 08:28 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 07:43 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 07:25 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 07:15 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 08/02 07:13 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 06:04 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 05:46 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 05:31 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 05:25 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 08/02 05:07 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 04:55 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 04:34 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 04:19 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 04:01 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 03:43 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 03:34 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 03:28 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 03:01 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 02:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 08/02 02:05 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 08/02 02:04 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 01:40 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 01:37 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 01:01 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 12:34 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 12:25 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 12:10 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 12:01 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 11:43 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 10:41 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 09:58 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 09:40 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 09:37 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 09:28 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 09:13 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 08:44 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 08/02 08:37 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 07:55 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 07:55 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 08/02 07:40 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 07:29 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 07:05 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 08/02 05:46 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 05:01 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 04:45 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 08/02 04:19 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 03:46 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 02:58 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/02 01:45 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 08/01 10:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 08/01 10:25 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/01 10:25 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 08/01 09:55 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/01 08:15 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 08/01 07:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 08/01 06:49 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/01 06:04 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/01 05:52 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/01 05:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 08/01 05:38 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/01 05:28 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/01 05:01 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/01 04:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 08/01 04:43 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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