NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL MIN
Points 109.5 112.9
Total Points   222.5
Points From 2-Pointers 51.8 57.1
Points From 3-Pointers 38.3 37.8
Points From Free Throws 19.4 18.0
Shooting MIL MIN
Field Goals Made 38.7 41.2
Field Goals Attempted 85.1 86.7
Field Goal % 45.4% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 25.9 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 50.4 53.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.3% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 34.7 33.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 19.4 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 23.3
Free Throw % 77.3% 77.2%
Ball Control MIL MIN
Rebounds 48.5 49.0
Rebounds - Defensive 38.1 38.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 10.2
Turnovers 12.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.0 5.0
Steals 6.3 6.9
Fouls 18.8 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL MIN
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 99.6 100.3
% of Possessions with MIL MIN
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 29.3%
Player Fouled 17.5% 18.5%
Turnover 12.1% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL MIN
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 21.1%