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Milwaukee at Portland
Mon Feb 6, 2023
10:00pm ET
Portland, OR
Milwaukee at Portland: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Milwaukee by 4.5, Total Points: 241
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIL | adv | POR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 36-47-1 | 39-41-2 | |
| vs Division | 6-13-0 | 7-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 26-27-1 | 23-29-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 20-22-1 | 18-22-1 | |
| Away | 16-25-0 | 21-19-1 |
Milwaukee Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/26 | Home | Philadelphia | -6.0 | W by 1 | -5.0 |
| 10/29 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | L by 17 | -23.0 |
| 10/30 | Home | Miami | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Toronto | -4.0 | L by 19 | -23.0 |
| 11/03 | Home | New York | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/06 | Away | Brooklyn | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Detroit | -12.0 | W by 2 | -10.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Indiana | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Orlando | -2.0 | L by 15 | -17.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Chicago | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Toronto | -1.5 | W by 16 | +14.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Charlotte | -8.0 | W by 31 | +23.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Dallas | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 11/20 | Away | Washington | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | Boston | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Washington | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Portland | -13.0 | W by 6 | -7.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Chicago | -10.5 | L by 7 | -17.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Atlanta | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | New York | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 12/07 | Neutral | Indiana | -5.0 | L by 9 | -14.0 |
| 12/11 | Home | Chicago | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Detroit | -16.5 | W by 32 | +15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Houston | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | San Antonio | -16.5 | W by 13 | -3.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Orlando | -8.5 | W by 4 | -4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | New York | -2.0 | W by 19 | +17.0 |
| 12/25 | Away | New York | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/27 | Away | Brooklyn | -10.0 | W by 22 | +12.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Cleveland | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | Indiana | -8.0 | L by 9 | -17.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | San Antonio | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Houston | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Utah | -8.0 | L by 16 | -24.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Boston | -2.0 | W by 33 | +31.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Golden State | -13.5 | W by 11 | -2.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Sacramento | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Cleveland | +2.0 | L by 40 | -38.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Detroit | -13.5 | W by 6 | -7.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Detroit | -12.5 | W by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Cleveland | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Cleveland | -5.5 | L by 12 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | New Orleans | -3.5 | W by 24 | +20.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Denver | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Portland | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Dallas | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Utah | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Phoenix | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Minnesota | +2.0 | L by 24 | -22.0 |
| 02/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.0 | W by 36 | +20.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Denver | -1.0 | W by 17 | +16.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Miami | -7.0 | L by 26 | -33.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | Memphis | -14.0 | L by 3 | -17.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Minnesota | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Philadelphia | -4.5 | W by 21 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Charlotte | -14.0 | W by 38 | +24.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Charlotte | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Chicago | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | LA Clippers | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Golden State | +2.5 | L by 35 | -32.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | LA Lakers | -4.0 | L by 1 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | LA Clippers | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | Sacramento | +1.5 | L by 35 | -33.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | Philadelphia | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/17 | Home | Phoenix | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 03/20 | Away | Boston | +10.5 | L by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/21 | Home | Brooklyn | -9.5 | W by 7 | -2.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Okla City | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 03/26 | Home | LA Lakers | -9.5 | L by 4 | -13.5 |
| 03/28 | Away | New Orleans | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 03/30 | Away | Atlanta | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 04/02 | Away | Washington | -13.0 | L by 4 | -17.0 |
| 04/03 | Home | Memphis | -12.5 | L by 10 | -22.5 |
| 04/05 | Home | Toronto | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 04/07 | Home | New York | -4.5 | L by 13 | -17.5 |
| 04/09 | Home | Boston | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 04/10 | Home | Orlando | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 04/12 | Away | Okla City | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Orlando | +6.0 | L by 25 | -19.0 |
| 04/21 | Home | Indiana | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 04/23 | Home | Indiana | -1.0 | L by 17 | -18.0 |
Portland Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/25 | Away | LA Clippers | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 10/27 | Home | Orlando | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 10/29 | Away | Philadelphia | +9.5 | L by 28 | -18.5 |
| 10/30 | Away | Toronto | +10.0 | W by 8 | +18.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | Detroit | +3.5 | W by 9 | +12.5 |
| 11/03 | Home | Memphis | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 11/05 | Home | Memphis | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | Sacramento | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | LA Lakers | +8.5 | L by 6 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Utah | +7.0 | L by 16 | -9.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Cleveland | +10.0 | L by 14 | -4.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | LA Lakers | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Okla City | +7.0 | L by 43 | -36.0 |
| 11/21 | Away | Phoenix | +12.0 | L by 13 | -1.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Utah | +3.5 | W by 16 | +19.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | Milwaukee | +13.0 | L by 6 | +7.0 |
| 11/27 | Away | Indiana | +12.0 | W by 4 | +16.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Cleveland | +12.0 | W by 8 | +20.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Utah | +1.5 | L by 5 | -3.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Golden State | +12.5 | L by 4 | +8.5 |
| 12/08 | Home | Dallas | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | LA Clippers | +14.0 | L by 5 | +9.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Utah | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Dallas | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Golden State | +6.0 | L by 4 | +2.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Phoenix | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Washington | -4.0 | L by 1 | -5.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | Golden State | +8.0 | L by 20 | -12.0 |
| 12/26 | Home | Sacramento | +9.0 | W by 17 | +26.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | San Antonio | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | San Antonio | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/01 | Away | Phoenix | +9.5 | L by 21 | -11.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Dallas | +10.5 | L by 29 | -18.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Dallas | +7.0 | L by 36 | -29.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Brooklyn | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | New York | +13.0 | L by 28 | -15.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Okla City | +13.5 | L by 62 | -48.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Minnesota | +16.0 | L by 23 | -7.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Phoenix | +14.0 | L by 11 | +3.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Brooklyn | +5.5 | W by 2 | +7.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Indiana | +8.0 | W by 3 | +11.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | LA Lakers | +11.5 | L by 24 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Okla City | +13.5 | L by 2 | +11.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Houston | +10.0 | W by 6 | +16.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | San Antonio | +5.0 | L by 16 | -11.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Chicago | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Philadelphia | +5.0 | W by 26 | +31.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Milwaukee | +10.5 | W by 3 | +13.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Denver | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Denver | +15.0 | L by 9 | +6.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Detroit | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | New Orleans | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Minnesota | +8.5 | L by 12 | -3.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Minnesota | +9.5 | L by 37 | -27.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Denver | +8.0 | L by 15 | -7.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Charlotte | -3.5 | L by 13 | -16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Miami | +6.5 | L by 10 | -3.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Memphis | +1.0 | W by 30 | +31.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Memphis | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 03/04 | Away | Minnesota | +15.5 | L by 5 | +10.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | Okla City | +13.0 | L by 8 | +5.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Houston | +6.5 | L by 16 | -9.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Toronto | +2.5 | W by 10 | +12.5 |
| 03/11 | Home | Boston | +11.0 | L by 22 | -11.0 |
| 03/13 | Home | Atlanta | +4.5 | W by 4 | +8.5 |
| 03/14 | Home | New York | +12.0 | L by 12 | 0.0 |
| 03/16 | Away | New Orleans | +13.0 | L by 19 | -6.0 |
| 03/18 | Away | Chicago | +8.5 | L by 3 | +5.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | LA Clippers | +12.0 | L by 13 | -1.0 |
| 03/22 | Home | LA Clippers | +14.5 | L by 8 | +6.5 |
| 03/23 | Home | Denver | +10.5 | L by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/25 | Away | Houston | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 03/27 | Away | Atlanta | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 03/29 | Away | Miami | +14.0 | L by 60 | -46.0 |
| 04/01 | Away | Orlando | +17.0 | L by 1 | +16.0 |
| 04/03 | Away | Charlotte | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 04/05 | Away | Washington | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 04/07 | Away | Boston | +17.0 | L by 17 | 0.0 |
| 04/09 | Home | New Orleans | +14.0 | L by 10 | +4.0 |
| 04/11 | Home | Golden State | +13.0 | L by 8 | +5.0 |
| 04/12 | Home | Houston | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 04/14 | Away | Sacramento | +17.5 | L by 39 | -21.5 |
| MIL -4.5 | Open | -5.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NBA season there have been 756 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Milwaukee won the game 473 times (62.6%).
- The team like Portland won the game 283 times (37.4%).
- The team like Milwaukee did better against the spread, going 385-361-10 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NBA season there have been 1293 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Milwaukee did better against the spread, going 648-621-24 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/06 10:07 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 09:53 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/06 09:37 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 09:23 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/06 09:19 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 08:33 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/06 06:43 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/06 06:37 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 05:43 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/06 05:33 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/06 05:23 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/06 04:53 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/06 04:13 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/06 03:34 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 03:19 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 02:33 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/06 01:34 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 01:03 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/06 12:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/06 12:52 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 11:52 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 11:31 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 09:37 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 09:01 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 08:49 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 08:31 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 08:13 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/06 07:58 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 07:46 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/06 06:46 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/05 04:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
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