NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIL POR
Points 119.8 107.5
Total Points   227.4
Points From 2-Pointers 61.1 57.5
Points From 3-Pointers 38.2 33.7
Points From Free Throws 20.5 16.4
Shooting MIL POR
Field Goals Made 43.3 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 84.5 91.9
Field Goal % 51.3% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 30.6 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 48.9 58.9
2 Point Shooting % 62.5% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 35.6 33.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 20.5 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 26.3 20.6
Free Throw % 78.0% 79.4%
Ball Control MIL POR
Rebounds 49.9 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 39.8 34.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 13.8
Turnovers 12.0 11.9
Blocked Shots 5.6 3.7
Steals 7.1 6.4
Fouls 16.2 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIL POR
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 100.0 103.8
% of Possessions with MIL POR
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 28.0%
Player Fouled 18.4% 15.9%
Turnover 11.8% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIL POR
Shot Blocked 4.1% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 25.7%