NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI PHI
Points 112.2 112.8
Total Points   225.0
Points From 2-Pointers 59.6 54.0
Points From 3-Pointers 33.2 38.7
Points From Free Throws 19.4 20.0
Shooting CHI PHI
Field Goals Made 40.9 39.9
Field Goals Attempted 87.0 87.6
Field Goal % 47.0% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 27.0
2 Pointers Attempted 55.5 50.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 31.5 37.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 19.4 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 24.5
Free Throw % 80.1% 81.7%
Ball Control CHI PHI
Rebounds 49.7 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 35.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 12.5
Turnovers 11.7 10.9
Blocked Shots 5.8 5.8
Steals 5.7 6.7
Fouls 16.9 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI PHI
Total Possessions 99.9
Effective Scoring Chances 100.8 101.5
% of Possessions with CHI PHI
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 32.3%
Player Fouled 18.9% 16.9%
Turnover 11.7% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI PHI
Shot Blocked 6.8% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 25.2%