NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI MIL
Points 112.8 117.5
Total Points   230.3
Points From 2-Pointers 61.7 51.0
Points From 3-Pointers 34.3 47.4
Points From Free Throws 16.7 19.1
Shooting CHI MIL
Field Goals Made 42.3 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 91.5 85.3
Field Goal % 46.3% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 30.9 25.5
2 Pointers Attempted 59.0 43.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 58.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 15.8
3 Pointers Attempted 32.5 41.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 16.7 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 24.5
Free Throw % 79.3% 78.0%
Ball Control CHI MIL
Rebounds 48.5 49.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.9 39.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 9.8
Turnovers 9.6 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.3
Steals 6.7 5.5
Fouls 17.8 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI MIL
Total Possessions 101.6
Effective Scoring Chances 103.6 99.6
% of Possessions with CHI MIL
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 38.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 36.9%
Player Fouled 16.8% 17.5%
Turnover 9.5% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI MIL
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 21.0%