NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI MIL
Points 113.0 117.5
Total Points   230.5
Points From 2-Pointers 61.9 51.3
Points From 3-Pointers 34.2 47.1
Points From Free Throws 16.9 19.2
Shooting CHI MIL
Field Goals Made 42.4 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 91.4 85.3
Field Goal % 46.3% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 31.0 25.6
2 Pointers Attempted 59.2 43.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 15.7
3 Pointers Attempted 32.3 41.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 16.9 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 24.8
Free Throw % 79.2% 77.3%
Ball Control CHI MIL
Rebounds 48.6 49.5
Rebounds - Defensive 36.9 39.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 10.0
Turnovers 9.7 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.1 4.3
Steals 6.8 5.6
Fouls 17.9 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Milwaukee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI MIL
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.7 99.8
% of Possessions with CHI MIL
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 38.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 36.8%
Player Fouled 17.0% 17.6%
Turnover 9.5% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI MIL
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 21.3%