NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI CLE
Points 110.7 113.1
Total Points   223.8
Points From 2-Pointers 60.0 50.8
Points From 3-Pointers 34.6 45.8
Points From Free Throws 16.2 16.5
Shooting CHI CLE
Field Goals Made 41.5 40.6
Field Goals Attempted 88.4 85.0
Field Goal % 47.0% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 30.0 25.4
2 Pointers Attempted 57.2 44.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 15.3
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 40.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 16.2 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 21.7
Free Throw % 79.2% 76.1%
Ball Control CHI CLE
Rebounds 48.1 47.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 10.4
Turnovers 11.0 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.0
Steals 7.4 6.1
Fouls 17.5 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI CLE
Total Possessions 99.8
Effective Scoring Chances 100.4 97.6
% of Possessions with CHI CLE
2 Point Attempt 50.7% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 36.5%
Player Fouled 15.7% 17.5%
Turnover 11.0% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI CLE
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 22.2%