NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI CLE
Points 109.8 112.9
Total Points   222.7
Points From 2-Pointers 59.2 50.8
Points From 3-Pointers 34.4 45.5
Points From Free Throws 16.2 16.6
Shooting CHI CLE
Field Goals Made 41.1 40.6
Field Goals Attempted 88.3 85.0
Field Goal % 46.5% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 25.4
2 Pointers Attempted 56.9 44.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 15.2
3 Pointers Attempted 31.4 40.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 16.2 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 21.8
Free Throw % 79.2% 76.0%
Ball Control CHI CLE
Rebounds 48.0 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 36.4 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 10.6
Turnovers 11.0 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.1
Steals 7.5 6.1
Fouls 17.5 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI CLE
Total Possessions 99.7
Effective Scoring Chances 100.3 97.6
% of Possessions with CHI CLE
2 Point Attempt 50.4% 39.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 36.3%
Player Fouled 15.7% 17.6%
Turnover 11.0% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI CLE
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 22.6%