NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI CLE
Points 110.4 113.2
Total Points   223.6
Points From 2-Pointers 59.6 50.8
Points From 3-Pointers 34.6 46.0
Points From Free Throws 16.2 16.4
Shooting CHI CLE
Field Goals Made 41.3 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 88.2 85.0
Field Goal % 46.9% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 29.8 25.4
2 Pointers Attempted 57.0 44.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 15.3
3 Pointers Attempted 31.2 40.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 16.2 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 21.6
Free Throw % 79.2% 76.1%
Ball Control CHI CLE
Rebounds 47.9 47.8
Rebounds - Defensive 36.3 37.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 10.5
Turnovers 11.0 12.6
Blocked Shots 4.7 4.0
Steals 7.4 6.1
Fouls 17.4 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI CLE
Total Possessions 99.7
Effective Scoring Chances 100.2 97.5
% of Possessions with CHI CLE
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 39.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 36.5%
Player Fouled 15.7% 17.5%
Turnover 11.1% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI CLE
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 22.4%