NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI BOS
Points 107.3 120.4
Total Points   227.7
Points From 2-Pointers 58.1 48.2
Points From 3-Pointers 35.9 55.8
Points From Free Throws 13.3 16.4
Shooting CHI BOS
Field Goals Made 41.0 42.7
Field Goals Attempted 94.3 88.4
Field Goal % 43.5% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 29.0 24.1
2 Pointers Attempted 60.0 41.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 18.6
3 Pointers Attempted 34.4 47.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 13.3 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 20.7
Free Throw % 79.3% 79.2%
Ball Control CHI BOS
Rebounds 49.5 52.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 41.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 11.6
Turnovers 9.7 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.7 5.9
Steals 5.8 5.6
Fouls 15.6 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI BOS
Total Possessions 99.9
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 100.6
% of Possessions with CHI BOS
2 Point Attempt 51.9% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 41.6%
Player Fouled 14.2% 15.6%
Turnover 9.8% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI BOS
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 24.2%