NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI MEM
Points 114.3 106.9
Total Points   221.2
Points From 2-Pointers 60.6 45.8
Points From 3-Pointers 36.4 43.7
Points From Free Throws 17.4 17.4
Shooting CHI MEM
Field Goals Made 42.4 37.5
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 86.2
Field Goal % 47.9% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 55.6 44.8
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 14.6
3 Pointers Attempted 33.0 41.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 17.4 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 22.7
Free Throw % 79.2% 76.6%
Ball Control CHI MEM
Rebounds 51.2 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 38.7 35.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 12.4
Turnovers 12.3 14.0
Blocked Shots 6.1 5.6
Steals 7.7 6.9
Fouls 17.4 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI MEM
Total Possessions 100.9
Effective Scoring Chances 101.2 99.3
% of Possessions with CHI MEM
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 35.8%
Player Fouled 17.0% 17.2%
Turnover 12.2% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI MEM
Shot Blocked 6.7% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 24.2%