NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI CHA
Points 115.8 107.6
Total Points   223.4
Points From 2-Pointers 63.2 50.8
Points From 3-Pointers 36.8 41.5
Points From Free Throws 15.8 15.2
Shooting CHI CHA
Field Goals Made 43.9 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.7 84.9
Field Goal % 49.5% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 31.6 25.4
2 Pointers Attempted 55.2 46.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 13.8
3 Pointers Attempted 33.5 38.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 15.8 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 19.3
Free Throw % 79.2% 78.9%
Ball Control CHI CHA
Rebounds 50.3 44.0
Rebounds - Defensive 38.1 34.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 9.4
Turnovers 11.1 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.0
Steals 6.8 5.7
Fouls 16.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI CHA
Total Possessions 99.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.5 96.0
% of Possessions with CHI CHA
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 34.8%
Player Fouled 16.1% 16.4%
Turnover 11.2% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI CHA
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 19.7%