NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI CHA
Points 115.5 107.6
Total Points   223.1
Points From 2-Pointers 62.9 50.8
Points From 3-Pointers 36.9 41.5
Points From Free Throws 15.7 15.2
Shooting CHI CHA
Field Goals Made 43.8 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.8 84.8
Field Goal % 49.3% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 31.5 25.4
2 Pointers Attempted 55.1 46.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 13.8
3 Pointers Attempted 33.6 38.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 15.7 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 19.3
Free Throw % 79.2% 78.9%
Ball Control CHI CHA
Rebounds 50.2 44.2
Rebounds - Defensive 38.1 34.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 9.4
Turnovers 11.1 12.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.0
Steals 6.8 5.7
Fouls 16.3 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI CHA
Total Possessions 99.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.5 96.0
% of Possessions with CHI CHA
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 34.7%
Player Fouled 16.0% 16.4%
Turnover 11.2% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI CHA
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 19.8%