NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI CHA
Points 115.3 106.5
Total Points   221.8
Points From 2-Pointers 61.3 51.5
Points From 3-Pointers 37.5 40.3
Points From Free Throws 16.4 14.7
Shooting CHI CHA
Field Goals Made 43.2 39.2
Field Goals Attempted 87.9 86.2
Field Goal % 49.1% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 30.6 25.7
2 Pointers Attempted 53.7 47.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 34.2 38.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 16.4 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 18.8
Free Throw % 80.1% 78.3%
Ball Control CHI CHA
Rebounds 50.0 45.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.4 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 10.5
Turnovers 11.2 12.9
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.0
Steals 6.6 5.7
Fouls 15.9 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI CHA
Total Possessions 99.6
Effective Scoring Chances 100.0 97.2
% of Possessions with CHI CHA
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 42.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 34.5%
Player Fouled 16.5% 15.9%
Turnover 11.3% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI CHA
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 21.5%