NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI UTA
Points 120.5 116.9
Total Points   237.3
Points From 2-Pointers 62.0 53.6
Points From 3-Pointers 41.0 43.4
Points From Free Throws 17.5 19.9
Shooting CHI UTA
Field Goals Made 44.6 41.3
Field Goals Attempted 92.1 88.0
Field Goal % 48.5% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 31.0 26.8
2 Pointers Attempted 57.4 47.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 14.5
3 Pointers Attempted 34.7 40.9
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 17.5 19.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 23.7
Free Throw % 80.1% 83.8%
Ball Control CHI UTA
Rebounds 46.6 51.0
Rebounds - Defensive 34.7 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 13.5
Turnovers 9.7 13.8
Blocked Shots 6.0 5.2
Steals 7.6 5.2
Fouls 17.5 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI UTA
Total Possessions 102.2
Effective Scoring Chances 104.4 101.9
% of Possessions with CHI UTA
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 34.6%
Player Fouled 16.6% 17.1%
Turnover 9.5% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI UTA
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 28.1%