NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI NY
Points 110.7 114.2
Total Points   224.9
Points From 2-Pointers 60.6 51.6
Points From 3-Pointers 34.2 44.5
Points From Free Throws 15.9 18.1
Shooting CHI NY
Field Goals Made 41.7 40.6
Field Goals Attempted 87.9 86.9
Field Goal % 47.5% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 25.8
2 Pointers Attempted 55.9 47.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 14.8
3 Pointers Attempted 32.0 39.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 15.9 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 23.2
Free Throw % 79.2% 78.1%
Ball Control CHI NY
Rebounds 46.7 50.1
Rebounds - Defensive 34.5 36.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 14.1
Turnovers 10.9 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.1
Steals 6.3 6.2
Fouls 17.2 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI NY
Total Possessions 98.5
Effective Scoring Chances 99.7 100.7
% of Possessions with CHI NY
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 34.4%
Player Fouled 16.3% 17.5%
Turnover 11.0% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI NY
Shot Blocked 4.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 29.0%