NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CHI NY
Points 117.8 122.8
Total Points   240.6
Points From 2-Pointers 55.7 68.6
Points From 3-Pointers 48.7 37.5
Points From Free Throws 13.3 16.7
Shooting CHI NY
Field Goals Made 44.1 46.8
Field Goals Attempted 91.6 93.9
Field Goal % 48.2% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 27.8 34.3
2 Pointers Attempted 50.4 57.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 59.5%
3 Pointers Made 16.2 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 41.1 36.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.5% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 13.3 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 20.7
Free Throw % 80.3% 80.8%
Ball Control CHI NY
Rebounds 47.3 50.6
Rebounds - Defensive 36.7 38.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 12.2
Turnovers 12.9 10.2
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.5
Steals 5.6 6.6
Fouls 16.0 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CHI NY
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 101.5 105.9
% of Possessions with CHI NY
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 35.5% 30.7%
Player Fouled 12.9% 15.4%
Turnover 12.5% 9.8%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CHI NY
Shot Blocked 3.8% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 25.0%